Netflix's Reports Earnings Stock Soars Again In After hours Trading

In this tough stock market it is good to see there are still a few winners... Netlfix stock symbol NFLX reported stellar earnings today and boosted their quarterly and yearly guidance. How high can this one go? Well as long as they don't disappoint this stock could easily go way higher, if they do though it could fall rather sharply.

Don't get me wrong, overall the picture for Netflix is looking pretty bright with it's recent major deals and increase in subscribers as well as gross margins.  The shorts certainly are getting cooked on this one that is for sure... I would find it hard to bet against them with the kind of increase in subscribers quarter over quarter over quarter and I think many people are still covering their positions.

Here are the highlights of the quarter...

“Q3 represents our fourth consecutive quarter of more than one million net subscriber additions. This growth is clearly driven by the strength of our streaming offering. In fact, by every measure, we are now primarily a streaming company that also offers DVD-by-mail,” said Reed Hastings, Netflix co-founder and CEO. “At the same time, the introduction of our streaming offering in Canada in late September has provided us with very encouraging signs regarding the potential for the Netflix service internationally.”

Third-Quarter 2010 Financial Highlights
Subscribers. Netflix ended the third quarter of 2010 with approximately 16,933,000 total subscribers, representing 52 percent year-over-year growth from 11,109,000 total subscribers at the end of the third quarter of 2009 and 13 percent sequential growth from 15,001,000 subscribers at the end of the second quarter of 2010.

Net subscriber change in the quarter was an increase of 1,932,000 compared to an increase of 510,000 for the same period of 2009 and an increase of 1,034,000 for the second quarter of 2010. Gross subscriber additions for the quarter totaled 4,101,000, representing 88 percent year-over-year growth from 2,180,000 gross subscriber additions in the third quarter of 2009 and 34 percent quarterover-
quarter increase from 3,059,000 gross subscriber additions in the second quarter of 2010. Of the 16,933,000 total subscribers at quarter end, 94 percent, or 15,863,000, were paid subscribers. The other 6 percent, or 1,070,000, were free subscribers. Paid subscribers represented 98 percent of total subscribers at the end of the third quarter of 2009 and 97 percent at the end of the second quarter of 2010. Revenue for the third quarter of 2010 was $553.2 million, representing 31 percent year-over-year growth from $423.1 million for the third quarter of 2009, and 6 percent sequential growth from $519.8 million for the second quarter of 2010.

Gross margin for the third quarter of 2010 was 37.7 percent compared to 34.9 percent for the third quarter of 2009 and 39.4 percent for the second quarter of 2010. GAAP net income for the third quarter of 2010 was $38.0 million, or $0.70 per diluted share compared to GAAP net income of $30.1 million, or $0.52 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2009 and GAAP net income of $43.5 million, or $0.80 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2010. GAAP net income grew 26 percent on a year-over-year basis and GAAP EPS grew 35 percent on a year-over-year basis.
Percentage of subscribers who watched instantly more than 15 minutes of a TV episode or movie in the third quarter of 2010 was 66 percent compared to 41 percent for the same period of 2009 and 61 percent for the second quarter of 2010. In Q4 a majority of Netflix subscribers will watch more content streamed from Netflix than delivered on DVD. With that transition in the business from mostly DVD to mostly streaming, this will be the last quarter the company will report this metric. Subscriber acquisition cost for the third quarter of 2010 was $19.81 per gross subscriber addition compared to $26.86 for the same period of 2009 and $24.37 for the second quarter of 2010. Churn for the third quarter of 2010 was 3.8 percent compared to 4.4 percent for the third quarter of 2009 and 4.0 percent for the second quarter of 2010. Churn includes free subscribers as well as paying subscribers who elect not to renew their monthly subscription service during the quarter.

Free cash flow4 for the third quarter of 2010 was $7.8 million compared to $25.5 million for the third quarter of 2009 and $34.2 million for the second quarter of 2010. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow for the third quarter of 2010 was $109.8 million compared to $117.9 million for the third quarter of 2009 and $127.5 million for the second quarter of 2010. Cash provided by operating activities for the third quarter of 2010 was $42.2 million compared to $78.3 million for the third quarter of 2009 and $60.3 million for the second quarter of 2010.

Business Outlook
The Company’s performance expectations for the fourth quarter of 2010 and full-year 2010 are as follows:
Fourth-Quarter 2010
 Ending subscribers of 19.0 million to 19.7 million, up from 17.7 million to 18.5 million
 Revenue of $586 million to $598 million, versus $580 million to $596 million
 GAAP net income of $32 million to $40 million, unchanged
 GAAP EPS of $0.59 to $0.74 per diluted share, unchanged

Google Reports Solid 2nd Quarter Earnings Again

Wall Street yawn as Google reported stellar earnings as usual. Here are some highlights from the release...

Q2 Financial Summary

Google reported revenues of $5.52 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2009, an increase of 3% compared to the second quarter of 2008. Google reports its revenues, consistent with GAAP, on a gross basis without deducting traffic acquisition costs (TAC). In the second quarter of 2009, TAC totaled $1.45 billion, or 27% of advertising revenues.

Google reports operating income, operating margin, net income, and earnings per share (EPS) on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis. The non-GAAP measures, as well as free cash flow, an alternative non-GAAP measure of liquidity, are described below and are reconciled to the corresponding GAAP measures in the accompanying financial tables.

• GAAP operating income for the second quarter of 2009 was $1.87 billion, or 34% of revenues. This compares to GAAP operating income of $1.58 billion, or 29% of revenues, in the second quarter of 2008. Non-GAAP operating income in the second quarter of 2009 was $2.17 billion, or 39% of revenues. This compares to non-GAAP operating income of $1.85 billion, or 34% of revenues, in the second quarter of 2008.
• GAAP net income for the second quarter of 2009 was $1.48 billion as compared to $1.25 billion in the second quarter of 2008. Non-GAAP net income in the second quarter of 2009 was $1.71 billion, compared to $1.47 billion in the second quarter of 2008.
• GAAP EPS for the second quarter of 2009 was $4.66 on 319 million diluted shares outstanding, compared to $3.92 for the second quarter of 2008 on 318 million diluted shares outstanding. Non-GAAP EPS in the second quarter of 2009 was $5.36, compared to $4.63 in the second quarter of 2008.
• Non-GAAP operating income and non-GAAP operating margin exclude the expenses related to stock-based compensation (SBC). Non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP EPS exclude the expenses related to SBC and the related tax benefits. In the second quarter of 2009, the charge related to SBC was $293 million as compared to $273 million in the second quarter of 2008. The tax benefit related to SBC was $69 million in the second quarter of 2009 and $48 million in the second quarter of 2008. Reconciliations of non-GAAP measures to GAAP operating income, operating margin, net income, and EPS are included at the end of this release.

As of June 30, 2009, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities were $19.3 billion.

Google also increases it ever growing stock pile of Cash, as of June 30, 2009, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities were $19.3 billion. Impressive, but then again I was sold on Google a long, long, time ago. Let's see how the aftermarket treats it...

Odyssey Marine Down But Not Out

When the courts ruled the Odyssey Marine (OMEX) should return the sunken treasure to the Spanish government on June 4, 2009 Odyssey's stock price lost nearly half its value in a single trading day. Without a doubt this is a huge blow to Odyssey, but the fight is not over. Anyone in their right mind would realize that Odysesey Marine should at least be given a massive finders fee for discovering, recovering and preserving this historical find.

If you caught the program on the Discovery Channel called Treasure Quest you can see that this company is serious about finding treasure. There is a lot of different shipwrecks in the sea and it is only a matter of time before they discover another big find like the Black Swan. Sure this stock is risky, but not as risky as it was at $4. Think of buying this stock like a ongoing lotto ticket, you never know when you are going to strike it rich, but you have a chance and a pretty good one if you ask me at this bargain basement prices.

What do you think about Odyssey Marine's stock, are they a good buy at these levels or do you think they could sink even lower?